Two to four of every 10,000 US adults may need hospitalization and intensive care unit (ICU) resources during the COVID-19 pandemic, if events similar to those in Wuhan, China, unfold here, according to a study published today in JAMA Network Open. A coauthor of the study warned that the results demonstrate the gravity of reopening affected areas too soon after lockdown. The comparative effectiveness study analyzed data from COVID-19 patients in Wuhan and Guangzhou, China, during outbreaks from Jan 10 to Feb 29 to determine the effect and timing of infection-control measures on community transmission. While Wuhan waited 6 weeks to implement strict infection-control measures after reporting sustained community transmission, Guangzhou did so within 1 week and had far fewer infections and deaths and less hospital use.

 

 

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